Massachusetts's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its voter registration patterns and consistent electoral history, supporting trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and currently chair of the House Rules Committee, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and enters the November general with established fundraising and organizational advantages. Republican challengers, including repeat candidate Tracy Lovvorn, have shown limited traction in prior cycles, aligning with the district's placement in the Solid Democratic category by major race raters. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected retirement announcement, a major scandal, or an unusually large national Republican wave, though structural factors limit the realistic scope for such shifts before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MA-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa MA-02
$41,595 Vol.
$41,595 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$41,595 Vol.
$41,595 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$29,872 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$11,723 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its voter registration patterns and consistent electoral history, supporting trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and currently chair of the House Rules Committee, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and enters the November general with established fundraising and organizational advantages. Republican challengers, including repeat candidate Tracy Lovvorn, have shown limited traction in prior cycles, aligning with the district's placement in the Solid Democratic category by major race raters. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected retirement announcement, a major scandal, or an unusually large national Republican wave, though structural factors limit the realistic scope for such shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$41,595Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its voter registration patterns and consistent electoral history, supporting trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and currently chair of the House Rules Committee, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and enters the November general with established fundraising and organizational advantages. Republican challengers, including repeat candidate Tracy Lovvorn, have shown limited traction in prior cycles, aligning with the district's placement in the Solid Democratic category by major race raters. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected retirement announcement, a major scandal, or an unusually large national Republican wave, though structural factors limit the realistic scope for such shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,595Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its voter registration patterns and consistent electoral history, supporting trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and currently chair of the House Rules Committee, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and enters the November general with established fundraising and organizational advantages. Republican challengers, including repeat candidate Tracy Lovvorn, have shown limited traction in prior cycles, aligning with the district's placement in the Solid Democratic category by major race raters. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected retirement announcement, a major scandal, or an unusually large national Republican wave, though structural factors limit the realistic scope for such shifts before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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