Jim McGovern’s commanding position in the MA-02 race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with his long tenure as incumbent since 1997 and unopposed Democratic primary win on September 1. No Republican filed for the general election on November 3, leaving the seat without organized opposition in a D+13 district where McGovern has routinely secured large margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the incumbent reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or recent polling shifts. Late developments such as a surprise Republican entry, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before November, though historical patterns in similar safe seats suggest limited volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MA-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa MA-02
$63,456 Vol.
$63,456 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$63,456 Vol.
$63,456 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$28,228 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim McGovern’s commanding position in the MA-02 race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with his long tenure as incumbent since 1997 and unopposed Democratic primary win on September 1. No Republican filed for the general election on November 3, leaving the seat without organized opposition in a D+13 district where McGovern has routinely secured large margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the incumbent reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or recent polling shifts. Late developments such as a surprise Republican entry, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before November, though historical patterns in similar safe seats suggest limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$63,456Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim McGovern’s commanding position in the MA-02 race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with his long tenure as incumbent since 1997 and unopposed Democratic primary win on September 1. No Republican filed for the general election on November 3, leaving the seat without organized opposition in a D+13 district where McGovern has routinely secured large margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the incumbent reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or recent polling shifts. Late developments such as a surprise Republican entry, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before November, though historical patterns in similar safe seats suggest limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,456Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jim McGovern’s commanding position in the MA-02 race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with his long tenure as incumbent since 1997 and unopposed Democratic primary win on September 1. No Republican filed for the general election on November 3, leaving the seat without organized opposition in a D+13 district where McGovern has routinely secured large margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the incumbent reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or recent polling shifts. Late developments such as a surprise Republican entry, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before November, though historical patterns in similar safe seats suggest limited volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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