Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern’s May 2026 reelection announcement and the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index underpin the 94.5% Democratic consensus in this Massachusetts House race. The seat has remained safely Democratic for decades, with McGovern facing minimal primary opposition and no well-funded Republican challenger emerging ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries or the November 3 general election. Historical turnout patterns and limited statewide Republican infrastructure further reinforce trader pricing. A credible GOP candidate with substantial fundraising or a major scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current candidate filings and district fundamentals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MA-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa MA-02
$45,121 Vol.
$45,121 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$45,121 Vol.
$45,121 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$32,718 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$12,403 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern’s May 2026 reelection announcement and the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index underpin the 94.5% Democratic consensus in this Massachusetts House race. The seat has remained safely Democratic for decades, with McGovern facing minimal primary opposition and no well-funded Republican challenger emerging ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries or the November 3 general election. Historical turnout patterns and limited statewide Republican infrastructure further reinforce trader pricing. A credible GOP candidate with substantial fundraising or a major scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current candidate filings and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,121Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern’s May 2026 reelection announcement and the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index underpin the 94.5% Democratic consensus in this Massachusetts House race. The seat has remained safely Democratic for decades, with McGovern facing minimal primary opposition and no well-funded Republican challenger emerging ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries or the November 3 general election. Historical turnout patterns and limited statewide Republican infrastructure further reinforce trader pricing. A credible GOP candidate with substantial fundraising or a major scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current candidate filings and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,121Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern’s May 2026 reelection announcement and the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index underpin the 94.5% Democratic consensus in this Massachusetts House race. The seat has remained safely Democratic for decades, with McGovern facing minimal primary opposition and no well-funded Republican challenger emerging ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries or the November 3 general election. Historical turnout patterns and limited statewide Republican infrastructure further reinforce trader pricing. A credible GOP candidate with substantial fundraising or a major scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current candidate filings and district fundamentals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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