**Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern faces minimal opposition in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters.** McGovern, first elected in 1996 and seeking another term in the September 1, 2026 primary and November general election, benefits from the district’s entrenched Democratic voting patterns and the absence of filed Republican challengers or notable primary contenders at this stage. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, reinforcing trader consensus around the party’s strong position. A Democratic victory remains the baseline expectation unless late-cycle developments such as an unexpected Republican candidate surge, a major scandal, or incumbent health or retirement issues materialize before the filing deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MA-02
$41,995 Vol.
$41,995 Vol.
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$41,995 Vol.
$41,995 Vol.
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern faces minimal opposition in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters.** McGovern, first elected in 1996 and seeking another term in the September 1, 2026 primary and November general election, benefits from the district’s entrenched Democratic voting patterns and the absence of filed Republican challengers or notable primary contenders at this stage. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, reinforcing trader consensus around the party’s strong position. A Democratic victory remains the baseline expectation unless late-cycle developments such as an unexpected Republican candidate surge, a major scandal, or incumbent health or retirement issues materialize before the filing deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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