Joe Neguse's commanding position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and the incumbent's prior strong performances, including a 68% share in 2024. As the sitting representative since 2019, Neguse advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary while raising over $2.5 million. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who prevailed in her party's June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Boulder, Fort Collins, and other left-leaning areas. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that views an upset as improbable absent major late developments such as a national wave or unforeseen candidate issues. The general election occurs November 3, 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara CO-02
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara CO-02
$40,731 Vol.
$40,731 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Joe Neguse (D)
95%
Kelley Dennison (R)
3%
$40,731 Vol.
$40,731 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Joe Neguse (D)
$19,162 Vol.
95%
Kelley Dennison (R)
$21,569 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Neguse's commanding position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and the incumbent's prior strong performances, including a 68% share in 2024. As the sitting representative since 2019, Neguse advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary while raising over $2.5 million. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who prevailed in her party's June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Boulder, Fort Collins, and other left-leaning areas. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that views an upset as improbable absent major late developments such as a national wave or unforeseen candidate issues. The general election occurs November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$40,731Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Neguse's commanding position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and the incumbent's prior strong performances, including a 68% share in 2024. As the sitting representative since 2019, Neguse advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary while raising over $2.5 million. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who prevailed in her party's June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Boulder, Fort Collins, and other left-leaning areas. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that views an upset as improbable absent major late developments such as a national wave or unforeseen candidate issues. The general election occurs November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,731Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Joe Neguse's commanding position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and the incumbent's prior strong performances, including a 68% share in 2024. As the sitting representative since 2019, Neguse advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary while raising over $2.5 million. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who prevailed in her party's June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Boulder, Fort Collins, and other left-leaning areas. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that views an upset as improbable absent major late developments such as a national wave or unforeseen candidate issues. The general election occurs November 3, 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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