Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros holds a strong position in California's 31st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following his 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly eight points, consistent with recent presidential and Senate results showing Democratic margins above 15 points. With the June 2026 primary featuring Cisneros against two Republican challengers, the top-two format and registration edge reinforce the frontrunner status. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift remain the primary variables that could alter general election dynamics before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCA-31 House Election Winner
CA-31 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$4,300 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$3,113 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros holds a strong position in California's 31st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following his 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly eight points, consistent with recent presidential and Senate results showing Democratic margins above 15 points. With the June 2026 primary featuring Cisneros against two Republican challengers, the top-two format and registration edge reinforce the frontrunner status. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift remain the primary variables that could alter general election dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$7,413Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros holds a strong position in California's 31st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following his 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly eight points, consistent with recent presidential and Senate results showing Democratic margins above 15 points. With the June 2026 primary featuring Cisneros against two Republican challengers, the top-two format and registration edge reinforce the frontrunner status. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift remain the primary variables that could alter general election dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,413Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gil Cisneros holds a strong position in California's 31st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following his 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly eight points, consistent with recent presidential and Senate results showing Democratic margins above 15 points. With the June 2026 primary featuring Cisneros against two Republican challengers, the top-two format and registration edge reinforce the frontrunner status. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift remain the primary variables that could alter general election dynamics before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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