Laura Friedman, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote in California's 30th district, which encompasses Democratic-leaning areas of Los Angeles County including Glendale and Burbank. Her commanding position reflects substantial fundraising advantages, established name recognition from prior state legislative service, and consistent ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Scott Meyers, the Republican nominee, trails significantly in resources and support. Trader consensus assigns Friedman a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. Factors that could still shift odds include a major undisclosed scandal, sharp national partisan realignment in the final weeks, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-30
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-30
$24,273 Vol.
$24,273 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Laura Friedman (D)
96%
Scott Meyers (R)
4%
$24,273 Vol.
$24,273 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Laura Friedman (D)
$13,073 Vol.
96%
Scott Meyers (R)
$11,200 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Laura Friedman, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote in California's 30th district, which encompasses Democratic-leaning areas of Los Angeles County including Glendale and Burbank. Her commanding position reflects substantial fundraising advantages, established name recognition from prior state legislative service, and consistent ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Scott Meyers, the Republican nominee, trails significantly in resources and support. Trader consensus assigns Friedman a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. Factors that could still shift odds include a major undisclosed scandal, sharp national partisan realignment in the final weeks, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$24,273Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Laura Friedman, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote in California's 30th district, which encompasses Democratic-leaning areas of Los Angeles County including Glendale and Burbank. Her commanding position reflects substantial fundraising advantages, established name recognition from prior state legislative service, and consistent ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Scott Meyers, the Republican nominee, trails significantly in resources and support. Trader consensus assigns Friedman a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. Factors that could still shift odds include a major undisclosed scandal, sharp national partisan realignment in the final weeks, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,273Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Laura Friedman, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote in California's 30th district, which encompasses Democratic-leaning areas of Los Angeles County including Glendale and Burbank. Her commanding position reflects substantial fundraising advantages, established name recognition from prior state legislative service, and consistent ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Scott Meyers, the Republican nominee, trails significantly in resources and support. Trader consensus assigns Friedman a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. Factors that could still shift odds include a major undisclosed scandal, sharp national partisan realignment in the final weeks, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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