Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for California’s 32nd congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in registration advantages and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, underpins trader expectations. Sherman’s long tenure, fundraising edge, and ability to consolidate support in a district anchored in Los Angeles County have reinforced this positioning since the primary, where he narrowly led Thompson amid a split Democratic field. Thompson’s path remains narrow absent major national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies that could alter the baseline partisan balance in the remaining weeks before the November 3 ballot.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-32
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-32
$25,203 Vol.
$25,203 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
3%
$25,203 Vol.
$25,203 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$11,768 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$13,435 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for California’s 32nd congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in registration advantages and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, underpins trader expectations. Sherman’s long tenure, fundraising edge, and ability to consolidate support in a district anchored in Los Angeles County have reinforced this positioning since the primary, where he narrowly led Thompson amid a split Democratic field. Thompson’s path remains narrow absent major national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies that could alter the baseline partisan balance in the remaining weeks before the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$25,203Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for California’s 32nd congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in registration advantages and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, underpins trader expectations. Sherman’s long tenure, fundraising edge, and ability to consolidate support in a district anchored in Los Angeles County have reinforced this positioning since the primary, where he narrowly led Thompson amid a split Democratic field. Thompson’s path remains narrow absent major national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies that could alter the baseline partisan balance in the remaining weeks before the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,203Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for California’s 32nd congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in registration advantages and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, underpins trader expectations. Sherman’s long tenure, fundraising edge, and ability to consolidate support in a district anchored in Los Angeles County have reinforced this positioning since the primary, where he narrowly led Thompson amid a split Democratic field. Thompson’s path remains narrow absent major national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies that could alter the baseline partisan balance in the remaining weeks before the November 3 ballot.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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