Texas's 2nd congressional district, covering northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Steve Toth, the Republican nominee and former state representative, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary and faces Democrat Shaun Finnie in the general. The new congressional map enacted in 2025 further strengthened GOP positioning across Texas. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and the district's voting history, though a national Democratic surge or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in a low-turnout environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-02
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-02
$23,409 Vol.
$23,409 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Democrata
7%
$23,409 Vol.
$23,409 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,629 Vol.
92%
Partido Democrata
$11,780 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district, covering northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Steve Toth, the Republican nominee and former state representative, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary and faces Democrat Shaun Finnie in the general. The new congressional map enacted in 2025 further strengthened GOP positioning across Texas. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and the district's voting history, though a national Democratic surge or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$23,409Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district, covering northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Steve Toth, the Republican nominee and former state representative, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary and faces Democrat Shaun Finnie in the general. The new congressional map enacted in 2025 further strengthened GOP positioning across Texas. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and the district's voting history, though a national Democratic surge or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,409Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 2nd congressional district, covering northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Steve Toth, the Republican nominee and former state representative, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary and faces Democrat Shaun Finnie in the general. The new congressional map enacted in 2025 further strengthened GOP positioning across Texas. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and the district's voting history, though a national Democratic surge or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in a low-turnout environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions