Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, positioning the GOP nominee in a district encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs with a consistent Republican voting record. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Shaun Finnie. This alignment reflects the district's partisan composition and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors while allowing for low-probability disruptions such as late-campaign developments or unusually high Democratic turnout that could narrow the margin without altering the expected outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-02
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-02
$23,429 Vol.
$23,429 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Democrata
7%
$23,429 Vol.
$23,429 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,629 Vol.
92%
Partido Democrata
$11,800 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, positioning the GOP nominee in a district encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs with a consistent Republican voting record. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Shaun Finnie. This alignment reflects the district's partisan composition and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors while allowing for low-probability disruptions such as late-campaign developments or unusually high Democratic turnout that could narrow the margin without altering the expected outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$23,429Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, positioning the GOP nominee in a district encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs with a consistent Republican voting record. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Shaun Finnie. This alignment reflects the district's partisan composition and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors while allowing for low-probability disruptions such as late-campaign developments or unusually high Democratic turnout that could narrow the margin without altering the expected outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,429Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, positioning the GOP nominee in a district encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs with a consistent Republican voting record. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Shaun Finnie. This alignment reflects the district's partisan composition and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors while allowing for low-probability disruptions such as late-campaign developments or unusually high Democratic turnout that could narrow the margin without altering the expected outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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