Incumbent Democratic Rep. Dina Titus secured her party's nomination with roughly 76% of the primary vote in June, entering the general election against Republican state Sen. Carrie Buck in a district rated D+2 by the Cook Political Report. Titus maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage from prior cycles and benefits from the seat's recent electoral history, where Democrats have prevailed by modest margins. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A significant national Republican wave, unusually high GOP turnout, or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and Titus's institutional support limit near-term shifts in probability assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNV-01 House Election Winner
NV-01 House Election Winner
$15,465 Vol.
$15,465 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
$15,465 Vol.
$15,465 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$4,130 Vol.
91%
Republican Party
$11,335 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Dina Titus secured her party's nomination with roughly 76% of the primary vote in June, entering the general election against Republican state Sen. Carrie Buck in a district rated D+2 by the Cook Political Report. Titus maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage from prior cycles and benefits from the seat's recent electoral history, where Democrats have prevailed by modest margins. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A significant national Republican wave, unusually high GOP turnout, or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and Titus's institutional support limit near-term shifts in probability assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$15,465Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Dina Titus secured her party's nomination with roughly 76% of the primary vote in June, entering the general election against Republican state Sen. Carrie Buck in a district rated D+2 by the Cook Political Report. Titus maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage from prior cycles and benefits from the seat's recent electoral history, where Democrats have prevailed by modest margins. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A significant national Republican wave, unusually high GOP turnout, or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and Titus's institutional support limit near-term shifts in probability assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,465Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Dina Titus secured her party's nomination with roughly 76% of the primary vote in June, entering the general election against Republican state Sen. Carrie Buck in a district rated D+2 by the Cook Political Report. Titus maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage from prior cycles and benefits from the seat's recent electoral history, where Democrats have prevailed by modest margins. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A significant national Republican wave, unusually high GOP turnout, or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap, though the district's partisan baseline and Titus's institutional support limit near-term shifts in probability assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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