Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a modest Democratic lean, and Lee has secured reelection in the past two cycles by narrow but consistent margins in a competitive suburban Las Vegas seat. She dispatched primary challengers decisively in June, while Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, a Trump-endorsed candidate, consolidated his party’s nomination without evident momentum that would alter the race’s fundamentals. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from national midterm dynamics, changes in voter turnout among key suburban or Hispanic blocs, or late developments affecting either candidate’s support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NV-03
Vencedor da eleição da casa NV-03
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
92%
Partido Republicano
9%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$3,270 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$1,708 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a modest Democratic lean, and Lee has secured reelection in the past two cycles by narrow but consistent margins in a competitive suburban Las Vegas seat. She dispatched primary challengers decisively in June, while Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, a Trump-endorsed candidate, consolidated his party’s nomination without evident momentum that would alter the race’s fundamentals. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from national midterm dynamics, changes in voter turnout among key suburban or Hispanic blocs, or late developments affecting either candidate’s support.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$4,978Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a modest Democratic lean, and Lee has secured reelection in the past two cycles by narrow but consistent margins in a competitive suburban Las Vegas seat. She dispatched primary challengers decisively in June, while Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, a Trump-endorsed candidate, consolidated his party’s nomination without evident momentum that would alter the race’s fundamentals. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from national midterm dynamics, changes in voter turnout among key suburban or Hispanic blocs, or late developments affecting either candidate’s support.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,978Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a modest Democratic lean, and Lee has secured reelection in the past two cycles by narrow but consistent margins in a competitive suburban Las Vegas seat. She dispatched primary challengers decisively in June, while Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, a Trump-endorsed candidate, consolidated his party’s nomination without evident momentum that would alter the race’s fundamentals. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from national midterm dynamics, changes in voter turnout among key suburban or Hispanic blocs, or late developments affecting either candidate’s support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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