Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains a closely contested swing seat with an even partisan voter index ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, both of whom secured their party nominations unopposed in the July 21 primaries. Recent polling aggregates from June show Mendoza holding a narrow lead of roughly three points, supported by strong Democratic fundraising and messaging on issues such as tariffs and healthcare costs that have weighed on the incumbent’s favorability ratings. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s history of narrow margins and the current polling edge that aligns with trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAZ-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Câmara
AZ-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Câmara
$11,606 Vol.
$11,606 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
83%
Partido Republicano
18%
$11,606 Vol.
$11,606 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$3,889 Vol.
83%
Partido Republicano
$7,717 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains a closely contested swing seat with an even partisan voter index ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, both of whom secured their party nominations unopposed in the July 21 primaries. Recent polling aggregates from June show Mendoza holding a narrow lead of roughly three points, supported by strong Democratic fundraising and messaging on issues such as tariffs and healthcare costs that have weighed on the incumbent’s favorability ratings. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s history of narrow margins and the current polling edge that aligns with trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$11,606Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains a closely contested swing seat with an even partisan voter index ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, both of whom secured their party nominations unopposed in the July 21 primaries. Recent polling aggregates from June show Mendoza holding a narrow lead of roughly three points, supported by strong Democratic fundraising and messaging on issues such as tariffs and healthcare costs that have weighed on the incumbent’s favorability ratings. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s history of narrow margins and the current polling edge that aligns with trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,606Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains a closely contested swing seat with an even partisan voter index ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, both of whom secured their party nominations unopposed in the July 21 primaries. Recent polling aggregates from June show Mendoza holding a narrow lead of roughly three points, supported by strong Democratic fundraising and messaging on issues such as tariffs and healthcare costs that have weighed on the incumbent’s favorability ratings. Multiple forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s history of narrow margins and the current polling edge that aligns with trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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