The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District for the 2026 midterms, drawing large primary fields on both sides ahead of the June 9 contests. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Republican. Democrats have fielded 11 candidates and view the open race as their strongest opportunity to compete in Northern Nevada, yet structural factors including voter registration advantages and historical results limit their implied probability to 26 percent. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NV-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa NV-02
$19,944 Vol.
$19,944 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
72%
Partido Democrata
25%
$19,944 Vol.
$19,944 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,420 Vol.
72%
Partido Democrata
$8,524 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District for the 2026 midterms, drawing large primary fields on both sides ahead of the June 9 contests. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Republican. Democrats have fielded 11 candidates and view the open race as their strongest opportunity to compete in Northern Nevada, yet structural factors including voter registration advantages and historical results limit their implied probability to 26 percent. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$19,944Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District for the 2026 midterms, drawing large primary fields on both sides ahead of the June 9 contests. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Republican. Democrats have fielded 11 candidates and view the open race as their strongest opportunity to compete in Northern Nevada, yet structural factors including voter registration advantages and historical results limit their implied probability to 26 percent. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,944Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District for the 2026 midterms, drawing large primary fields on both sides ahead of the June 9 contests. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Republican. Democrats have fielded 11 candidates and view the open race as their strongest opportunity to compete in Northern Nevada, yet structural factors including voter registration advantages and historical results limit their implied probability to 26 percent. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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