The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, drawing crowded primary fields on both sides for the June 9 vote. The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and unbroken Republican control since its creation underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 72 percent. Democrats see the vacancy as their best recent opportunity in northern Nevada and have recruited multiple candidates, yet the structural partisan tilt and absence of polling indicating a competitive general-election race sustain the lower implied probability for their nominee. Primary outcomes and any late endorsements represent the main near-term variables that could adjust positioning before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NV-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa NV-02
$19,944 Vol.
$19,944 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
72%
Partido Democrata
26%
$19,944 Vol.
$19,944 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,420 Vol.
72%
Partido Democrata
$8,524 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, drawing crowded primary fields on both sides for the June 9 vote. The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and unbroken Republican control since its creation underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 72 percent. Democrats see the vacancy as their best recent opportunity in northern Nevada and have recruited multiple candidates, yet the structural partisan tilt and absence of polling indicating a competitive general-election race sustain the lower implied probability for their nominee. Primary outcomes and any late endorsements represent the main near-term variables that could adjust positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$19,944Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, drawing crowded primary fields on both sides for the June 9 vote. The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and unbroken Republican control since its creation underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 72 percent. Democrats see the vacancy as their best recent opportunity in northern Nevada and have recruited multiple candidates, yet the structural partisan tilt and absence of polling indicating a competitive general-election race sustain the lower implied probability for their nominee. Primary outcomes and any late endorsements represent the main near-term variables that could adjust positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,944Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, drawing crowded primary fields on both sides for the June 9 vote. The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and unbroken Republican control since its creation underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 72 percent. Democrats see the vacancy as their best recent opportunity in northern Nevada and have recruited multiple candidates, yet the structural partisan tilt and absence of polling indicating a competitive general-election race sustain the lower implied probability for their nominee. Primary outcomes and any late endorsements represent the main near-term variables that could adjust positioning before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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