Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district heading into the November general election, backed by the area’s strong Republican registration edge, rural and suburban voter base, and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Langworthy advanced unopposed in the June Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, a theology professor who won his June primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a district with a partisan baseline favoring Republicans by roughly 19 points. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from late-campaign events such as turnout surges in Democratic-leaning Erie County pockets or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NY-23
Vencedor da eleição da casa NY-23
$32,297 Vol.
$32,297 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
4%
$32,297 Vol.
$32,297 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
$16,797 Vol.
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
$15,500 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district heading into the November general election, backed by the area’s strong Republican registration edge, rural and suburban voter base, and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Langworthy advanced unopposed in the June Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, a theology professor who won his June primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a district with a partisan baseline favoring Republicans by roughly 19 points. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from late-campaign events such as turnout surges in Democratic-leaning Erie County pockets or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,297Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district heading into the November general election, backed by the area’s strong Republican registration edge, rural and suburban voter base, and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Langworthy advanced unopposed in the June Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, a theology professor who won his June primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a district with a partisan baseline favoring Republicans by roughly 19 points. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from late-campaign events such as turnout surges in Democratic-leaning Erie County pockets or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,297Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district heading into the November general election, backed by the area’s strong Republican registration edge, rural and suburban voter base, and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Langworthy advanced unopposed in the June Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, a theology professor who won his June primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a district with a partisan baseline favoring Republicans by roughly 19 points. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from late-campaign events such as turnout surges in Democratic-leaning Erie County pockets or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions