Recent redistricting in Alabama, upheld by the Supreme Court in early June 2026, has shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican lean by altering boundaries in a manner that reduces Democratic advantages in the Mobile area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces this adjusted map ahead of the August 11 special primary and November general election, with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classifying the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A late May qualifying period drew six Republican candidates, including state Representative Rhett Marques, who leads an early June poll of the GOP field despite high undecided shares. These developments have shaped trader consensus around Republican performance in the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAL-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
AL-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$32,040 Vol.
$32,040 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
75%
Partido Democrata
28%
$32,040 Vol.
$32,040 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$17,770 Vol.
75%
Partido Democrata
$14,271 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting in Alabama, upheld by the Supreme Court in early June 2026, has shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican lean by altering boundaries in a manner that reduces Democratic advantages in the Mobile area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces this adjusted map ahead of the August 11 special primary and November general election, with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classifying the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A late May qualifying period drew six Republican candidates, including state Representative Rhett Marques, who leads an early June poll of the GOP field despite high undecided shares. These developments have shaped trader consensus around Republican performance in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$32,040Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting in Alabama, upheld by the Supreme Court in early June 2026, has shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican lean by altering boundaries in a manner that reduces Democratic advantages in the Mobile area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces this adjusted map ahead of the August 11 special primary and November general election, with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classifying the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A late May qualifying period drew six Republican candidates, including state Representative Rhett Marques, who leads an early June poll of the GOP field despite high undecided shares. These developments have shaped trader consensus around Republican performance in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,040Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting in Alabama, upheld by the Supreme Court in early June 2026, has shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican lean by altering boundaries in a manner that reduces Democratic advantages in the Mobile area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces this adjusted map ahead of the August 11 special primary and November general election, with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classifying the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A late May qualifying period drew six Republican candidates, including state Representative Rhett Marques, who leads an early June poll of the GOP field despite high undecided shares. These developments have shaped trader consensus around Republican performance in the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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