Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th congressional district race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 centered on the Saint Paul metro area. As the long-serving incumbent since 2001, she secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination with 85.8% in the August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to her opponent’s limited resources. Paul Wikstrom, the Republican nominee who prevailed in his primary, faces the structural challenges of a district where McCollum won 67.6% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara MN-04
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara MN-04
$24,286 Vol.
$24,286 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
95%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
4%
$24,286 Vol.
$24,286 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
$4,052 Vol.
95%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
$20,235 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th congressional district race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 centered on the Saint Paul metro area. As the long-serving incumbent since 2001, she secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination with 85.8% in the August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to her opponent’s limited resources. Paul Wikstrom, the Republican nominee who prevailed in his primary, faces the structural challenges of a district where McCollum won 67.6% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,286Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th congressional district race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 centered on the Saint Paul metro area. As the long-serving incumbent since 2001, she secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination with 85.8% in the August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to her opponent’s limited resources. Paul Wikstrom, the Republican nominee who prevailed in his primary, faces the structural challenges of a district where McCollum won 67.6% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,286Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th congressional district race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 centered on the Saint Paul metro area. As the long-serving incumbent since 2001, she secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination with 85.8% in the August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to her opponent’s limited resources. Paul Wikstrom, the Republican nominee who prevailed in his primary, faces the structural challenges of a district where McCollum won 67.6% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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