Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voter index and the incumbent's prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek reelection has consolidated party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary field shows limited momentum. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic based on consistent voting patterns in presidential and congressional contests. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national shift in turnout could narrow the margin in the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$41,011 Vol.
$41,011 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$41,011 Vol.
$41,011 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$17,009 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$24,002 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voter index and the incumbent's prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek reelection has consolidated party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary field shows limited momentum. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic based on consistent voting patterns in presidential and congressional contests. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national shift in turnout could narrow the margin in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$41,011Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voter index and the incumbent's prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek reelection has consolidated party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary field shows limited momentum. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic based on consistent voting patterns in presidential and congressional contests. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national shift in turnout could narrow the margin in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,011Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voter index and the incumbent's prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek reelection has consolidated party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary field shows limited momentum. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic based on consistent voting patterns in presidential and congressional contests. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national shift in turnout could narrow the margin in the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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