Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent results showing Democratic candidates securing large margins, including the incumbent's 74% share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the DFL endorsement and leads primary fundraising with over $5 million raised, while Republican challengers have historically struggled to exceed 25% of the vote in this urban Minneapolis-centered district. The August 11 Democratic primary and filing deadlines represent near-term steps, but the general election outcome faces few structural barriers. Late developments such as a nominee withdrawal or unexpected scandal could still alter the race in principle, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this level of partisan alignment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$40,820 Vol.
$40,820 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$40,820 Vol.
$40,820 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$16,817 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$24,002 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent results showing Democratic candidates securing large margins, including the incumbent's 74% share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the DFL endorsement and leads primary fundraising with over $5 million raised, while Republican challengers have historically struggled to exceed 25% of the vote in this urban Minneapolis-centered district. The August 11 Democratic primary and filing deadlines represent near-term steps, but the general election outcome faces few structural barriers. Late developments such as a nominee withdrawal or unexpected scandal could still alter the race in principle, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this level of partisan alignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$40,820Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent results showing Democratic candidates securing large margins, including the incumbent's 74% share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the DFL endorsement and leads primary fundraising with over $5 million raised, while Republican challengers have historically struggled to exceed 25% of the vote in this urban Minneapolis-centered district. The August 11 Democratic primary and filing deadlines represent near-term steps, but the general election outcome faces few structural barriers. Late developments such as a nominee withdrawal or unexpected scandal could still alter the race in principle, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this level of partisan alignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,820Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent results showing Democratic candidates securing large margins, including the incumbent's 74% share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the DFL endorsement and leads primary fundraising with over $5 million raised, while Republican challengers have historically struggled to exceed 25% of the vote in this urban Minneapolis-centered district. The August 11 Democratic primary and filing deadlines represent near-term steps, but the general election outcome faces few structural barriers. Late developments such as a nominee withdrawal or unexpected scandal could still alter the race in principle, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this level of partisan alignment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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