Incumbent Republican Mike Flood’s unopposed primary victory and the district’s established Republican lean position the party as the clear favorite in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Flood’s 60 percent share in 2024 and the area’s R+6 partisan voting index. Democrat Chris Backemeyer, who narrowly won his May primary, trails in the most recent polling at 43 percent to Flood’s 45 percent, though an independent candidate backed by the Democratic Senate nominee adds a minor variable. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural and recent primary outcomes rather than any late shifts in the race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNE-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
NE-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$22,842 Vol.
$22,842 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
81%
Partido Democrata
16%
$22,842 Vol.
$22,842 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,668 Vol.
81%
Partido Democrata
$11,175 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood’s unopposed primary victory and the district’s established Republican lean position the party as the clear favorite in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Flood’s 60 percent share in 2024 and the area’s R+6 partisan voting index. Democrat Chris Backemeyer, who narrowly won his May primary, trails in the most recent polling at 43 percent to Flood’s 45 percent, though an independent candidate backed by the Democratic Senate nominee adds a minor variable. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural and recent primary outcomes rather than any late shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$22,842Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood’s unopposed primary victory and the district’s established Republican lean position the party as the clear favorite in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Flood’s 60 percent share in 2024 and the area’s R+6 partisan voting index. Democrat Chris Backemeyer, who narrowly won his May primary, trails in the most recent polling at 43 percent to Flood’s 45 percent, though an independent candidate backed by the Democratic Senate nominee adds a minor variable. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural and recent primary outcomes rather than any late shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,842Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Flood’s unopposed primary victory and the district’s established Republican lean position the party as the clear favorite in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Flood’s 60 percent share in 2024 and the area’s R+6 partisan voting index. Democrat Chris Backemeyer, who narrowly won his May primary, trails in the most recent polling at 43 percent to Flood’s 45 percent, though an independent candidate backed by the Democratic Senate nominee adds a minor variable. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural and recent primary outcomes rather than any late shifts in the race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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