Incumbent Pramila Jayapal holds a commanding position in Washington's 7th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by large margins in prior cycles and a top-two primary where she captured over 83 percent of the vote in August 2026. The Seattle-area seat features a heavily Democratic electorate, and Jayapal's long tenure since 2017, combined with superior fundraising and name recognition, has reinforced trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican challenger Nirav Sheth advanced from the primary but trails significantly in resources and support. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment in the final weeks before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Casa WA-07
Vencedor da eleição da Casa WA-07
$34,611 Vol.
$34,611 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Pramila Jayapal (D)
96%
Nirav Sheth (R)
2%
$34,611 Vol.
$34,611 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Pramila Jayapal (D)
$11,607 Vol.
96%
Nirav Sheth (R)
$23,004 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Pramila Jayapal holds a commanding position in Washington's 7th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by large margins in prior cycles and a top-two primary where she captured over 83 percent of the vote in August 2026. The Seattle-area seat features a heavily Democratic electorate, and Jayapal's long tenure since 2017, combined with superior fundraising and name recognition, has reinforced trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican challenger Nirav Sheth advanced from the primary but trails significantly in resources and support. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment in the final weeks before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$34,611Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Pramila Jayapal holds a commanding position in Washington's 7th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by large margins in prior cycles and a top-two primary where she captured over 83 percent of the vote in August 2026. The Seattle-area seat features a heavily Democratic electorate, and Jayapal's long tenure since 2017, combined with superior fundraising and name recognition, has reinforced trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican challenger Nirav Sheth advanced from the primary but trails significantly in resources and support. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment in the final weeks before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,611Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Pramila Jayapal holds a commanding position in Washington's 7th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by large margins in prior cycles and a top-two primary where she captured over 83 percent of the vote in August 2026. The Seattle-area seat features a heavily Democratic electorate, and Jayapal's long tenure since 2017, combined with superior fundraising and name recognition, has reinforced trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican challenger Nirav Sheth advanced from the primary but trails significantly in resources and support. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment in the final weeks before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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