The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$67 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$67Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$67Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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