Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and her multiple reelection victories. Wagner secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a military veteran, narrowly won his nomination. Forecasters rate the seat as likely or solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns from recent cycles. A May 2026 poll showed the race within the margin of error initially, with Wellman gaining after candidate profiles were presented, though Wagner maintains a substantial fundraising edge. These factors align with trader consensus favoring the incumbent’s path to victory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-02 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
MO-02 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$15,145 Vol.
$15,145 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ann Wagner (R)
69%
Fred Wellman (D)
33%
$15,145 Vol.
$15,145 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ann Wagner (R)
$6,457 Vol.
69%
Fred Wellman (D)
$8,689 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and her multiple reelection victories. Wagner secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a military veteran, narrowly won his nomination. Forecasters rate the seat as likely or solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns from recent cycles. A May 2026 poll showed the race within the margin of error initially, with Wellman gaining after candidate profiles were presented, though Wagner maintains a substantial fundraising edge. These factors align with trader consensus favoring the incumbent’s path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$15,145Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and her multiple reelection victories. Wagner secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a military veteran, narrowly won his nomination. Forecasters rate the seat as likely or solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns from recent cycles. A May 2026 poll showed the race within the margin of error initially, with Wellman gaining after candidate profiles were presented, though Wagner maintains a substantial fundraising edge. These factors align with trader consensus favoring the incumbent’s path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,145Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and her multiple reelection victories. Wagner secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a military veteran, narrowly won his nomination. Forecasters rate the seat as likely or solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns from recent cycles. A May 2026 poll showed the race within the margin of error initially, with Wellman gaining after candidate profiles were presented, though Wagner maintains a substantial fundraising edge. These factors align with trader consensus favoring the incumbent’s path to victory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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