Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District after defeating former Representative Cori Bush by roughly 22 points in the August 4 primary. The St. Louis-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+25, reflected in Bell’s 76 percent general-election margin in 2024 and consistent historical voting patterns. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, limiting Republican prospects even with Paul Berry III advancing from the GOP primary. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent Democratic reflects these structural fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such developments remain rare in districts with this margin of safety.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
MO-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$35,092 Vol.
$35,092 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
97%
Partido Republicano
2%
$35,092 Vol.
$35,092 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$21,487 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$13,604 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District after defeating former Representative Cori Bush by roughly 22 points in the August 4 primary. The St. Louis-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+25, reflected in Bell’s 76 percent general-election margin in 2024 and consistent historical voting patterns. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, limiting Republican prospects even with Paul Berry III advancing from the GOP primary. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent Democratic reflects these structural fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such developments remain rare in districts with this margin of safety.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$35,092Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District after defeating former Representative Cori Bush by roughly 22 points in the August 4 primary. The St. Louis-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+25, reflected in Bell’s 76 percent general-election margin in 2024 and consistent historical voting patterns. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, limiting Republican prospects even with Paul Berry III advancing from the GOP primary. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent Democratic reflects these structural fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such developments remain rare in districts with this margin of safety.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,092Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District after defeating former Representative Cori Bush by roughly 22 points in the August 4 primary. The St. Louis-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+25, reflected in Bell’s 76 percent general-election margin in 2024 and consistent historical voting patterns. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, limiting Republican prospects even with Paul Berry III advancing from the GOP primary. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent Democratic reflects these structural fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such developments remain rare in districts with this margin of safety.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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