Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating of D+22 and consistent nonpartisan assessments rating the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari faces limited opposition in a district encompassing southern and western Phoenix areas that have favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent presidential and House contests. Primary elections scheduled for July 21, 2026, are unlikely to alter the trajectory given the structural advantages. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in voter composition or candidate dynamics. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments could still influence the final outcome before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAZ-03 Vencedor da eleição da casa
AZ-03 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$9,121 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$5,594 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating of D+22 and consistent nonpartisan assessments rating the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari faces limited opposition in a district encompassing southern and western Phoenix areas that have favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent presidential and House contests. Primary elections scheduled for July 21, 2026, are unlikely to alter the trajectory given the structural advantages. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in voter composition or candidate dynamics. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments could still influence the final outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$14,714Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating of D+22 and consistent nonpartisan assessments rating the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari faces limited opposition in a district encompassing southern and western Phoenix areas that have favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent presidential and House contests. Primary elections scheduled for July 21, 2026, are unlikely to alter the trajectory given the structural advantages. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in voter composition or candidate dynamics. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments could still influence the final outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,714Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating of D+22 and consistent nonpartisan assessments rating the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari faces limited opposition in a district encompassing southern and western Phoenix areas that have favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent presidential and House contests. Primary elections scheduled for July 21, 2026, are unlikely to alter the trajectory given the structural advantages. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in voter composition or candidate dynamics. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments could still influence the final outcome before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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