Arizona's 3rd congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban and suburban demographics in the Phoenix metro area, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and structural advantages in voter registration and turnout. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.7% Democratic probability stems from these established district characteristics and limited early signals of competitive Republican recruitment or fundraising for the 2026 cycle. A Republican victory would likely require a significant national wave, major candidate-specific developments, or unexpected shifts in local voter mobilization that have not materialized in recent elections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAZ-03 Vencedor da eleição da casa
AZ-03 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$33,982 Vol.
$33,982 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
2%
$33,982 Vol.
$33,982 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$15,266 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$18,716 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban and suburban demographics in the Phoenix metro area, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and structural advantages in voter registration and turnout. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.7% Democratic probability stems from these established district characteristics and limited early signals of competitive Republican recruitment or fundraising for the 2026 cycle. A Republican victory would likely require a significant national wave, major candidate-specific developments, or unexpected shifts in local voter mobilization that have not materialized in recent elections.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$33,982Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban and suburban demographics in the Phoenix metro area, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and structural advantages in voter registration and turnout. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.7% Democratic probability stems from these established district characteristics and limited early signals of competitive Republican recruitment or fundraising for the 2026 cycle. A Republican victory would likely require a significant national wave, major candidate-specific developments, or unexpected shifts in local voter mobilization that have not materialized in recent elections.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,982Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban and suburban demographics in the Phoenix metro area, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and structural advantages in voter registration and turnout. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.7% Democratic probability stems from these established district characteristics and limited early signals of competitive Republican recruitment or fundraising for the 2026 cycle. A Republican victory would likely require a significant national wave, major candidate-specific developments, or unexpected shifts in local voter mobilization that have not materialized in recent elections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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