Georgia's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns that have delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat became open following incumbent David Scott's death in April 2026, prompting a special election scheduled for July 28. Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination with over 57 percent in the May primary, while Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability due to these structural advantages and limited crossover appeal in the district. A late national shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major unforeseen development affecting either candidate could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable seats indicate such reversals remain rare.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara GA-13
$23,936 Vol.
$23,936 Vol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$23,936 Vol.
$23,936 Vol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns that have delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat became open following incumbent David Scott's death in April 2026, prompting a special election scheduled for July 28. Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination with over 57 percent in the May primary, while Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability due to these structural advantages and limited crossover appeal in the district. A late national shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major unforeseen development affecting either candidate could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable seats indicate such reversals remain rare.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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