Incumbent Republican Brad Knott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed on the other side. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 to R+9 and recent redistricting have reinforced its Republican tilt, consistent with the 2024 results. No major polling shifts or candidate controversies have emerged since the primaries, leaving the November 3 general election outcome largely aligned with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent party. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily in assessing reelection prospects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NC-13
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Democrata
17%
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Democrata
17%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Knott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed on the other side. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 to R+9 and recent redistricting have reinforced its Republican tilt, consistent with the 2024 results. No major polling shifts or candidate controversies have emerged since the primaries, leaving the November 3 general election outcome largely aligned with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent party. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily in assessing reelection prospects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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