Republican Sydney Gruters secured the nomination for Florida’s 16th congressional district after winning the August 18 primary, facing Democrat Kelly Kirschner in the November general election. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Vern Buchanan, sits in a district with an R+6 partisan voter index and a history of Republican presidential margins of roughly 8–15 points. Gruters benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from Donald Trump, and ties to state Republican leadership, while forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Republican. A late-August poll showed a tighter contest, yet models project a double-digit Republican margin based on district fundamentals and candidate resources. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa FL-16
Vencedor da eleição da casa FL-16
$25,759 Vol.
$25,759 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Democrata
17%
$25,759 Vol.
$25,759 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,773 Vol.
84%
Partido Democrata
$15,986 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Sydney Gruters secured the nomination for Florida’s 16th congressional district after winning the August 18 primary, facing Democrat Kelly Kirschner in the November general election. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Vern Buchanan, sits in a district with an R+6 partisan voter index and a history of Republican presidential margins of roughly 8–15 points. Gruters benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from Donald Trump, and ties to state Republican leadership, while forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Republican. A late-August poll showed a tighter contest, yet models project a double-digit Republican margin based on district fundamentals and candidate resources. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$25,759Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Sydney Gruters secured the nomination for Florida’s 16th congressional district after winning the August 18 primary, facing Democrat Kelly Kirschner in the November general election. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Vern Buchanan, sits in a district with an R+6 partisan voter index and a history of Republican presidential margins of roughly 8–15 points. Gruters benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from Donald Trump, and ties to state Republican leadership, while forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Republican. A late-August poll showed a tighter contest, yet models project a double-digit Republican margin based on district fundamentals and candidate resources. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,759Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Sydney Gruters secured the nomination for Florida’s 16th congressional district after winning the August 18 primary, facing Democrat Kelly Kirschner in the November general election. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Vern Buchanan, sits in a district with an R+6 partisan voter index and a history of Republican presidential margins of roughly 8–15 points. Gruters benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from Donald Trump, and ties to state Republican leadership, while forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Republican. A late-August poll showed a tighter contest, yet models project a double-digit Republican margin based on district fundamentals and candidate resources. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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