California's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by voter registration that heavily favors Democrats and a partisan voting index placing it among the nation's most Democratic areas. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the role has triggered a crowded June 2, 2026, top-two primary dominated by Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener, San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, and Saikat Chakrabarti, with limited Republican or independent participation and resources. This structure, combined with the district's consistent performance in prior cycles, drives the current trader consensus on a Democratic general election outcome in November. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented primary upset or broad realignment in turnout and preferences.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,127 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$701 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by voter registration that heavily favors Democrats and a partisan voting index placing it among the nation's most Democratic areas. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the role has triggered a crowded June 2, 2026, top-two primary dominated by Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener, San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, and Saikat Chakrabarti, with limited Republican or independent participation and resources. This structure, combined with the district's consistent performance in prior cycles, drives the current trader consensus on a Democratic general election outcome in November. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented primary upset or broad realignment in turnout and preferences.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,828Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by voter registration that heavily favors Democrats and a partisan voting index placing it among the nation's most Democratic areas. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the role has triggered a crowded June 2, 2026, top-two primary dominated by Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener, San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, and Saikat Chakrabarti, with limited Republican or independent participation and resources. This structure, combined with the district's consistent performance in prior cycles, drives the current trader consensus on a Democratic general election outcome in November. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented primary upset or broad realignment in turnout and preferences.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,828Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by voter registration that heavily favors Democrats and a partisan voting index placing it among the nation's most Democratic areas. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the role has triggered a crowded June 2, 2026, top-two primary dominated by Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener, San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, and Saikat Chakrabarti, with limited Republican or independent participation and resources. This structure, combined with the district's consistent performance in prior cycles, drives the current trader consensus on a Democratic general election outcome in November. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented primary upset or broad realignment in turnout and preferences.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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