Nancy Pelosi’s retirement has opened California’s 11th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, yet the seat remains one of the most Democratic-leaning in the country with a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+36. A crowded top-two primary on June 2 features several well-funded Democratic candidates, including state Senator Scott Wiener, San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, and Saikat Chakrabarti, while Republican contenders have drawn minimal support and resources. Election forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Democratic incorporates this structural advantage, though a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the margin before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,127 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$701 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nancy Pelosi’s retirement has opened California’s 11th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, yet the seat remains one of the most Democratic-leaning in the country with a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+36. A crowded top-two primary on June 2 features several well-funded Democratic candidates, including state Senator Scott Wiener, San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, and Saikat Chakrabarti, while Republican contenders have drawn minimal support and resources. Election forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Democratic incorporates this structural advantage, though a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,828Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nancy Pelosi’s retirement has opened California’s 11th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, yet the seat remains one of the most Democratic-leaning in the country with a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+36. A crowded top-two primary on June 2 features several well-funded Democratic candidates, including state Senator Scott Wiener, San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, and Saikat Chakrabarti, while Republican contenders have drawn minimal support and resources. Election forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Democratic incorporates this structural advantage, though a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,828Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nancy Pelosi’s retirement has opened California’s 11th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, yet the seat remains one of the most Democratic-leaning in the country with a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+36. A crowded top-two primary on June 2 features several well-funded Democratic candidates, including state Senator Scott Wiener, San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, and Saikat Chakrabarti, while Republican contenders have drawn minimal support and resources. Election forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Democratic incorporates this structural advantage, though a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the margin before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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