The district's pronounced Democratic partisan lean, rated D+39 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivering roughly 85 percent support for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Lateefah Simon faces only a Democratic primary challenger on June 2 before advancing to the general ballot, where no competitive Republican has emerged to contest the seat. This structural advantage, reinforced by the absence of meaningful opposition fundraising or polling in the race, leaves little room for an upset absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or last-minute independent candidacy capable of drawing crossover support in a low-turnout environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-12
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-12
$34,050 Vol.
$34,050 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$34,050 Vol.
$34,050 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$20,437 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$13,612 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Democratic partisan lean, rated D+39 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivering roughly 85 percent support for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Lateefah Simon faces only a Democratic primary challenger on June 2 before advancing to the general ballot, where no competitive Republican has emerged to contest the seat. This structural advantage, reinforced by the absence of meaningful opposition fundraising or polling in the race, leaves little room for an upset absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or last-minute independent candidacy capable of drawing crossover support in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$34,050Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Democratic partisan lean, rated D+39 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivering roughly 85 percent support for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Lateefah Simon faces only a Democratic primary challenger on June 2 before advancing to the general ballot, where no competitive Republican has emerged to contest the seat. This structural advantage, reinforced by the absence of meaningful opposition fundraising or polling in the race, leaves little room for an upset absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or last-minute independent candidacy capable of drawing crossover support in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,050Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's pronounced Democratic partisan lean, rated D+39 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivering roughly 85 percent support for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory in November 2026. Incumbent Lateefah Simon faces only a Democratic primary challenger on June 2 before advancing to the general ballot, where no competitive Republican has emerged to contest the seat. This structural advantage, reinforced by the absence of meaningful opposition fundraising or polling in the race, leaves little room for an upset absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or last-minute independent candidacy capable of drawing crossover support in a low-turnout environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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