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Política·Primárias

FL-09 Vencedor da primária republicana

icon for FL-09 Vencedor da primária republicana
Política·Primárias

FL-09 Vencedor da primária republicana

Thomas Chalifoux 61%

Marcus Carter 9.9%

Jorge Malavet 8%

Howard Steven Rance 5.4%

Polymarket

$19,840 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux 61%

Marcus Carter 9.9%

Jorge Malavet 8%

Howard Steven Rance 5.4%

Polymarket

$19,840 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux

$1,290 Vol.

54%

Marcus Carter

$587 Vol.

10%

Jorge Malavet

$2,328 Vol.

8%

Howard Steven Rance

$7,786 Vol.

5%

Justin Story

$7,848 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux holds the leading position in the August 18, 2026, Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District, reflecting trader consensus on his stronger name recognition and campaign infrastructure relative to Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story. The newly redrawn district, approved earlier this year and now projected to favor Republicans, has drawn multiple candidates following qualifying deadlines in early June. Limited public polling and recent candidate announcements have not yet shifted the field substantially, leaving Chalifoux positioned ahead while the remaining contenders compete for support in a race that will determine the party’s nominee against Democratic incumbent Darren Soto.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,840
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux holds the leading position in the August 18, 2026, Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District, reflecting trader consensus on his stronger name recognition and campaign infrastructure relative to Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story. The newly redrawn district, approved earlier this year and now projected to favor Republicans, has drawn multiple candidates following qualifying deadlines in early June. Limited public polling and recent candidate announcements have not yet shifted the field substantially, leaving Chalifoux positioned ahead while the remaining contenders compete for support in a race that will determine the party’s nominee against Democratic incumbent Darren Soto.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,840
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-09 Vencedor da primária republicana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Thomas Chalifoux" at 54%, followed by "Marcus Carter" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-09 Vencedor da primária republicana" has generated $19.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-09 Vencedor da primária republicana," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-09 Vencedor da primária republicana" is "Thomas Chalifoux" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marcus Carter" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-09 Vencedor da primária republicana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.