North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state’s R+18 partisan lean, combined with incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s decisive 2024 win and her status as the clear favorite in today’s Republican primary, underpins the current pricing. The Democratic–NPL nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late developments reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen primary upset, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa ND-AL
Vencedor da eleição da casa ND-AL
$39,243 Vol.
$39,243 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
96%
Partido Democrata
5%
$39,243 Vol.
$39,243 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$23,342 Vol.
96%
Partido Democrata
$15,901 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state’s R+18 partisan lean, combined with incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s decisive 2024 win and her status as the clear favorite in today’s Republican primary, underpins the current pricing. The Democratic–NPL nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late developments reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen primary upset, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$39,243Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state’s R+18 partisan lean, combined with incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s decisive 2024 win and her status as the clear favorite in today’s Republican primary, underpins the current pricing. The Democratic–NPL nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late developments reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen primary upset, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,243Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state’s R+18 partisan lean, combined with incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s decisive 2024 win and her status as the clear favorite in today’s Republican primary, underpins the current pricing. The Democratic–NPL nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late developments reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen primary upset, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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