North Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in the market's 95% consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the GOP nomination on June 9 by defeating challenger Alex Balazs with nearly 73% of the primary vote, while Democrat Trygve Hammer advanced unopposed. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and Fedorchak's 2024 victory margin exceeding 39 points. Trader positioning aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts in recent weeks. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited scope for such changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa ND-AL
Vencedor da eleição da casa ND-AL
$39,590 Vol.
$39,590 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Democrata
6%
$39,590 Vol.
$39,590 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$23,433 Vol.
95%
Partido Democrata
$16,158 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in the market's 95% consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the GOP nomination on June 9 by defeating challenger Alex Balazs with nearly 73% of the primary vote, while Democrat Trygve Hammer advanced unopposed. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and Fedorchak's 2024 victory margin exceeding 39 points. Trader positioning aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts in recent weeks. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$39,590Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in the market's 95% consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the GOP nomination on June 9 by defeating challenger Alex Balazs with nearly 73% of the primary vote, while Democrat Trygve Hammer advanced unopposed. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and Fedorchak's 2024 victory margin exceeding 39 points. Trader positioning aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts in recent weeks. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,590Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in the market's 95% consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the GOP nomination on June 9 by defeating challenger Alex Balazs with nearly 73% of the primary vote, while Democrat Trygve Hammer advanced unopposed. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and Fedorchak's 2024 victory margin exceeding 39 points. Trader positioning aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts in recent weeks. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited scope for such changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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