Wyoming's at-large congressional district has delivered consistent Republican victories with wide margins in recent cycles, reflecting the state's conservative voter base and limited Democratic infrastructure. The seat opened after incumbent Harriet Hageman sought the U.S. Senate nomination instead of reelection, leading to a crowded August 18 Republican primary won by Secretary of State Chuck Gray. Democrat Lisa Kinney secured her party's nomination, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans routinely outperform national averages. Trader consensus at 97.3% Republican reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns suggest limited pathways for such shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Casa WY-AL
Vencedor da eleição da Casa WY-AL
$44,175 Vol.
$44,175 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
97%
Democratic Party
<1%
$44,175 Vol.
$44,175 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$20,234 Vol.
97%
Democratic Party
$23,941 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district has delivered consistent Republican victories with wide margins in recent cycles, reflecting the state's conservative voter base and limited Democratic infrastructure. The seat opened after incumbent Harriet Hageman sought the U.S. Senate nomination instead of reelection, leading to a crowded August 18 Republican primary won by Secretary of State Chuck Gray. Democrat Lisa Kinney secured her party's nomination, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans routinely outperform national averages. Trader consensus at 97.3% Republican reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns suggest limited pathways for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$44,175Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district has delivered consistent Republican victories with wide margins in recent cycles, reflecting the state's conservative voter base and limited Democratic infrastructure. The seat opened after incumbent Harriet Hageman sought the U.S. Senate nomination instead of reelection, leading to a crowded August 18 Republican primary won by Secretary of State Chuck Gray. Democrat Lisa Kinney secured her party's nomination, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans routinely outperform national averages. Trader consensus at 97.3% Republican reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns suggest limited pathways for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,175Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large congressional district has delivered consistent Republican victories with wide margins in recent cycles, reflecting the state's conservative voter base and limited Democratic infrastructure. The seat opened after incumbent Harriet Hageman sought the U.S. Senate nomination instead of reelection, leading to a crowded August 18 Republican primary won by Secretary of State Chuck Gray. Democrat Lisa Kinney secured her party's nomination, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans routinely outperform national averages. Trader consensus at 97.3% Republican reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns suggest limited pathways for such shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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