Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's incumbency and the district's strong Democratic lean anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. The Cook Partisan Voter Index rates NY-14 at D+19, reflecting consistent heavy Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. AOC faces limited primary opposition on June 23 from candidates including Marty Dolan and Felipe Garcia, with prediction markets showing her as the near-certain nominee. A Republican nominee has filed but confronts structural barriers in a district where Democrats have prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still shift general-election dynamics before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara de NY-14
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara de NY-14
$41,424 Vol.
$41,424 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$41,424 Vol.
$41,424 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$28,262 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$13,162 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's incumbency and the district's strong Democratic lean anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. The Cook Partisan Voter Index rates NY-14 at D+19, reflecting consistent heavy Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. AOC faces limited primary opposition on June 23 from candidates including Marty Dolan and Felipe Garcia, with prediction markets showing her as the near-certain nominee. A Republican nominee has filed but confronts structural barriers in a district where Democrats have prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still shift general-election dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$41,424Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's incumbency and the district's strong Democratic lean anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. The Cook Partisan Voter Index rates NY-14 at D+19, reflecting consistent heavy Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. AOC faces limited primary opposition on June 23 from candidates including Marty Dolan and Felipe Garcia, with prediction markets showing her as the near-certain nominee. A Republican nominee has filed but confronts structural barriers in a district where Democrats have prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still shift general-election dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,424Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's incumbency and the district's strong Democratic lean anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. The Cook Partisan Voter Index rates NY-14 at D+19, reflecting consistent heavy Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. AOC faces limited primary opposition on June 23 from candidates including Marty Dolan and Felipe Garcia, with prediction markets showing her as the near-certain nominee. A Republican nominee has filed but confronts structural barriers in a district where Democrats have prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still shift general-election dynamics before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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