Oregon's 3rd Congressional District remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, anchored by strong performance in the Portland metro area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 90 percent of the vote, while the Republican nominee advanced unopposed. The district's partisan voting index and Dexter's prior 2024 general-election margin exceeding 30 points underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November general election, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOR-03 House Election Winner
OR-03 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$748 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$586 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd Congressional District remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, anchored by strong performance in the Portland metro area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 90 percent of the vote, while the Republican nominee advanced unopposed. The district's partisan voting index and Dexter's prior 2024 general-election margin exceeding 30 points underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November general election, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,334Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd Congressional District remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, anchored by strong performance in the Portland metro area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 90 percent of the vote, while the Republican nominee advanced unopposed. The district's partisan voting index and Dexter's prior 2024 general-election margin exceeding 30 points underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November general election, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,334Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd Congressional District remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, anchored by strong performance in the Portland metro area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 90 percent of the vote, while the Republican nominee advanced unopposed. The district's partisan voting index and Dexter's prior 2024 general-election margin exceeding 30 points underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November general election, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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