Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster seeks re-election in Illinois's 11th congressional district, a seat he has held since 2013 after winning 55.6 percent of the vote in 2024. The district, encompassing western Chicago suburbs and exurbs including Aurora and Naperville, carries a D+6 partisan voting index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Foster advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter emerged from his party's contest. These structural factors—incumbency, consistent partisan lean, and absence of competitive primary challenges—underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 90 percent implied probability. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unusually large national swing, unforeseen candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies capable of overcoming the district's baseline Democratic advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-11 House Election Winner
IL-11 House Election Winner
$12,020 Vol.
$12,020 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$12,020 Vol.
$12,020 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,884 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$8,137 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster seeks re-election in Illinois's 11th congressional district, a seat he has held since 2013 after winning 55.6 percent of the vote in 2024. The district, encompassing western Chicago suburbs and exurbs including Aurora and Naperville, carries a D+6 partisan voting index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Foster advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter emerged from his party's contest. These structural factors—incumbency, consistent partisan lean, and absence of competitive primary challenges—underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 90 percent implied probability. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unusually large national swing, unforeseen candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies capable of overcoming the district's baseline Democratic advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$12,020Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster seeks re-election in Illinois's 11th congressional district, a seat he has held since 2013 after winning 55.6 percent of the vote in 2024. The district, encompassing western Chicago suburbs and exurbs including Aurora and Naperville, carries a D+6 partisan voting index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Foster advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter emerged from his party's contest. These structural factors—incumbency, consistent partisan lean, and absence of competitive primary challenges—underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 90 percent implied probability. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unusually large national swing, unforeseen candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies capable of overcoming the district's baseline Democratic advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,020Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster seeks re-election in Illinois's 11th congressional district, a seat he has held since 2013 after winning 55.6 percent of the vote in 2024. The district, encompassing western Chicago suburbs and exurbs including Aurora and Naperville, carries a D+6 partisan voting index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Foster advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter emerged from his party's contest. These structural factors—incumbency, consistent partisan lean, and absence of competitive primary challenges—underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 90 percent implied probability. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unusually large national swing, unforeseen candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies capable of overcoming the district's baseline Democratic advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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