Incumbent Bill Foster maintains a commanding position in the Illinois 11th congressional district race due to the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid Democratic from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Foster secured an uncontested Democratic primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2.5 million in cash on hand compared with Republican nominee Jeff Walter’s limited resources following his narrow March primary victory. Trader consensus reflected in the 95.5% probability for Foster aligns with the district’s suburban Chicago electorate and historical results, including Foster’s 2024 win by double digits. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unexpected turnout shift could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized close to the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-11 House Election Winner
$40,038 Vol.
$40,038 Vol.
Bill Foster (D)
96%
Jeff Walter (R)
5%
$40,038 Vol.
$40,038 Vol.
Bill Foster (D)
96%
Jeff Walter (R)
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bill Foster maintains a commanding position in the Illinois 11th congressional district race due to the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid Democratic from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Foster secured an uncontested Democratic primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2.5 million in cash on hand compared with Republican nominee Jeff Walter’s limited resources following his narrow March primary victory. Trader consensus reflected in the 95.5% probability for Foster aligns with the district’s suburban Chicago electorate and historical results, including Foster’s 2024 win by double digits. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unexpected turnout shift could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized close to the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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