Incumbent Democratic Representative Bill Foster secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in Illinois' 11th congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and contributing to nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district's partisan baseline and limited general-election competitiveness. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would likely require a significant national political shift, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout in suburban and collar-county areas.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-11 House Election Winner
IL-11 House Election Winner
$12,020 Vol.
$12,020 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$12,020 Vol.
$12,020 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,884 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$8,137 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Bill Foster secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in Illinois' 11th congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and contributing to nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district's partisan baseline and limited general-election competitiveness. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would likely require a significant national political shift, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout in suburban and collar-county areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$12,020Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Bill Foster secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in Illinois' 11th congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and contributing to nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district's partisan baseline and limited general-election competitiveness. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would likely require a significant national political shift, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout in suburban and collar-county areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,020Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Bill Foster secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in Illinois' 11th congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and contributing to nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district's partisan baseline and limited general-election competitiveness. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would likely require a significant national political shift, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout in suburban and collar-county areas.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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