New York’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Midwood, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and delivered an 81 percent victory for incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke in 2024. With the June 23 Democratic primary days away and Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah unopposed, traders price the seat as safely Democratic. The district’s consistent partisan lean, Clarke’s long incumbency, and limited Republican infrastructure explain the current 94.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset producing a weakened nominee, an unforeseen national Republican surge, or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNY-09 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
NY-09 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$32,511 Vol.
$32,511 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$32,511 Vol.
$32,511 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$18,969 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$13,542 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Midwood, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and delivered an 81 percent victory for incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke in 2024. With the June 23 Democratic primary days away and Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah unopposed, traders price the seat as safely Democratic. The district’s consistent partisan lean, Clarke’s long incumbency, and limited Republican infrastructure explain the current 94.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset producing a weakened nominee, an unforeseen national Republican surge, or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$32,511Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Midwood, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and delivered an 81 percent victory for incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke in 2024. With the June 23 Democratic primary days away and Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah unopposed, traders price the seat as safely Democratic. The district’s consistent partisan lean, Clarke’s long incumbency, and limited Republican infrastructure explain the current 94.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset producing a weakened nominee, an unforeseen national Republican surge, or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,511Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Midwood, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and delivered an 81 percent victory for incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke in 2024. With the June 23 Democratic primary days away and Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah unopposed, traders price the seat as safely Democratic. The district’s consistent partisan lean, Clarke’s long incumbency, and limited Republican infrastructure explain the current 94.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset producing a weakened nominee, an unforeseen national Republican surge, or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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