Incumbent Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah in the November general election for New York’s 9th congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its voting history and Cook Political Report Solid D rating, underpins trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Clarke’s long tenure since 2007 and the district’s urban Brooklyn demographics have produced consistent large margins in prior cycles. Limited Republican organizational presence and fundraising trails further reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNY-09 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
NY-09 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$40,488 Vol.
$40,488 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$40,488 Vol.
$40,488 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$19,282 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$21,207 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah in the November general election for New York’s 9th congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its voting history and Cook Political Report Solid D rating, underpins trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Clarke’s long tenure since 2007 and the district’s urban Brooklyn demographics have produced consistent large margins in prior cycles. Limited Republican organizational presence and fundraising trails further reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$40,488Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah in the November general election for New York’s 9th congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its voting history and Cook Political Report Solid D rating, underpins trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Clarke’s long tenure since 2007 and the district’s urban Brooklyn demographics have produced consistent large margins in prior cycles. Limited Republican organizational presence and fundraising trails further reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,488Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah in the November general election for New York’s 9th congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its voting history and Cook Political Report Solid D rating, underpins trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Clarke’s long tenure since 2007 and the district’s urban Brooklyn demographics have produced consistent large margins in prior cycles. Limited Republican organizational presence and fundraising trails further reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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