The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, following Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s decision to run for governor, has produced Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore after June 2026 primary runoffs. The district’s R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s double-digit 2024 margin underpin the Republican advantage, with forecasters rating the race Likely Republican. A July GQR poll showed Honeycutt leading Lacore by just two points in a head-to-head matchup, highlighting Democratic competitiveness in a midterm environment. Trader consensus pricing Republicans at 70.5% reflects these structural fundamentals and historical voting patterns, while the 29.5% Democratic share accounts for the open-seat volatility and Lacore’s fundraising. No major developments have shifted the positioning since the nominees were finalized.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSC-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
SC-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$54,929 Vol.
$54,929 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
71%
Partido Democrata
30%
$54,929 Vol.
$54,929 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$13,217 Vol.
71%
Partido Democrata
$41,712 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, following Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s decision to run for governor, has produced Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore after June 2026 primary runoffs. The district’s R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s double-digit 2024 margin underpin the Republican advantage, with forecasters rating the race Likely Republican. A July GQR poll showed Honeycutt leading Lacore by just two points in a head-to-head matchup, highlighting Democratic competitiveness in a midterm environment. Trader consensus pricing Republicans at 70.5% reflects these structural fundamentals and historical voting patterns, while the 29.5% Democratic share accounts for the open-seat volatility and Lacore’s fundraising. No major developments have shifted the positioning since the nominees were finalized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$54,929Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, following Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s decision to run for governor, has produced Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore after June 2026 primary runoffs. The district’s R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s double-digit 2024 margin underpin the Republican advantage, with forecasters rating the race Likely Republican. A July GQR poll showed Honeycutt leading Lacore by just two points in a head-to-head matchup, highlighting Democratic competitiveness in a midterm environment. Trader consensus pricing Republicans at 70.5% reflects these structural fundamentals and historical voting patterns, while the 29.5% Democratic share accounts for the open-seat volatility and Lacore’s fundraising. No major developments have shifted the positioning since the nominees were finalized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$54,929Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, following Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s decision to run for governor, has produced Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore after June 2026 primary runoffs. The district’s R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s double-digit 2024 margin underpin the Republican advantage, with forecasters rating the race Likely Republican. A July GQR poll showed Honeycutt leading Lacore by just two points in a head-to-head matchup, highlighting Democratic competitiveness in a midterm environment. Trader consensus pricing Republicans at 70.5% reflects these structural fundamentals and historical voting patterns, while the 29.5% Democratic share accounts for the open-seat volatility and Lacore’s fundraising. No major developments have shifted the positioning since the nominees were finalized.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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