Nellie Pou, the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, holds a strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election due to the district’s D+2 partisan voting index, her established name recognition following the 2024 special election transition, and an uncontested Democratic primary. The seat’s recent history, including a 5-point Democratic victory in 2024 despite a narrow Republican presidential edge, reinforces trader expectations of continued Democratic performance. Republican nominee Rosie Pino, who narrowly won her June 2026 primary, faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Democratic advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. Cook Political Report currently classifies the race as leaning Democratic, aligning with the market’s 89.8% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. No major developments since the primaries have altered these fundamentals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNJ-09 House Election Winner
NJ-09 House Election Winner
$20,862 Vol.
$20,862 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
$20,862 Vol.
$20,862 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$10,188 Vol.
90%
Republican Party
$10,674 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou, the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, holds a strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election due to the district’s D+2 partisan voting index, her established name recognition following the 2024 special election transition, and an uncontested Democratic primary. The seat’s recent history, including a 5-point Democratic victory in 2024 despite a narrow Republican presidential edge, reinforces trader expectations of continued Democratic performance. Republican nominee Rosie Pino, who narrowly won her June 2026 primary, faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Democratic advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. Cook Political Report currently classifies the race as leaning Democratic, aligning with the market’s 89.8% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. No major developments since the primaries have altered these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
Volume
$20,862Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou, the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, holds a strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election due to the district’s D+2 partisan voting index, her established name recognition following the 2024 special election transition, and an uncontested Democratic primary. The seat’s recent history, including a 5-point Democratic victory in 2024 despite a narrow Republican presidential edge, reinforces trader expectations of continued Democratic performance. Republican nominee Rosie Pino, who narrowly won her June 2026 primary, faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Democratic advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. Cook Political Report currently classifies the race as leaning Democratic, aligning with the market’s 89.8% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. No major developments since the primaries have altered these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,862Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nellie Pou, the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, holds a strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election due to the district’s D+2 partisan voting index, her established name recognition following the 2024 special election transition, and an uncontested Democratic primary. The seat’s recent history, including a 5-point Democratic victory in 2024 despite a narrow Republican presidential edge, reinforces trader expectations of continued Democratic performance. Republican nominee Rosie Pino, who narrowly won her June 2026 primary, faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Democratic advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. Cook Political Report currently classifies the race as leaning Democratic, aligning with the market’s 89.8% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. No major developments since the primaries have altered these fundamentals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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