Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated R+6 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, giving his party a structural edge in the 2026 midterms. Recent polling from February and March 2026 showed Finstad leading or tied with Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, reflecting the district’s Republican tilt and Finstad’s 2024 general-election margin above 17 points. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely or Solid Republican as of mid-2026, consistent with the seat’s history of GOP control since the 2022 flip. The August 11 Republican primary and November general election timeline remain key markers, with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 71.5% implied probability based on these fundamentals and early-cycle data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
$18,165 Vol.
$18,165 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
28%
$18,165 Vol.
$18,165 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$8,616 Vol.
72%
Democratic Party
$9,549 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated R+6 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, giving his party a structural edge in the 2026 midterms. Recent polling from February and March 2026 showed Finstad leading or tied with Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, reflecting the district’s Republican tilt and Finstad’s 2024 general-election margin above 17 points. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely or Solid Republican as of mid-2026, consistent with the seat’s history of GOP control since the 2022 flip. The August 11 Republican primary and November general election timeline remain key markers, with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 71.5% implied probability based on these fundamentals and early-cycle data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$18,165Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated R+6 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, giving his party a structural edge in the 2026 midterms. Recent polling from February and March 2026 showed Finstad leading or tied with Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, reflecting the district’s Republican tilt and Finstad’s 2024 general-election margin above 17 points. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely or Solid Republican as of mid-2026, consistent with the seat’s history of GOP control since the 2022 flip. The August 11 Republican primary and November general election timeline remain key markers, with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 71.5% implied probability based on these fundamentals and early-cycle data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,165Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated R+6 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, giving his party a structural edge in the 2026 midterms. Recent polling from February and March 2026 showed Finstad leading or tied with Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, reflecting the district’s Republican tilt and Finstad’s 2024 general-election margin above 17 points. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely or Solid Republican as of mid-2026, consistent with the seat’s history of GOP control since the 2022 flip. The August 11 Republican primary and November general election timeline remain key markers, with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party a 71.5% implied probability based on these fundamentals and early-cycle data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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