Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with a clear majority and will face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and Simpson’s consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in prior cycles underpin trader consensus on the outcome. No significant shifts in candidate field, polling trends, or external events have altered the structural advantage since the primaries concluded. A Republican hold could still face disruption from unforeseen developments such as health-related withdrawal or major scandals in the final months before the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoID-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
ID-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Democrata
8%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$3,049 Vol.
93%
Partido Democrata
$3,409 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with a clear majority and will face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and Simpson’s consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in prior cycles underpin trader consensus on the outcome. No significant shifts in candidate field, polling trends, or external events have altered the structural advantage since the primaries concluded. A Republican hold could still face disruption from unforeseen developments such as health-related withdrawal or major scandals in the final months before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$6,458Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with a clear majority and will face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and Simpson’s consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in prior cycles underpin trader consensus on the outcome. No significant shifts in candidate field, polling trends, or external events have altered the structural advantage since the primaries concluded. A Republican hold could still face disruption from unforeseen developments such as health-related withdrawal or major scandals in the final months before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,458Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with a clear majority and will face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and Simpson’s consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in prior cycles underpin trader consensus on the outcome. No significant shifts in candidate field, polling trends, or external events have altered the structural advantage since the primaries concluded. A Republican hold could still face disruption from unforeseen developments such as health-related withdrawal or major scandals in the final months before the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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