Chrissy Houlahan’s incumbency in the suburban Philadelphia district underpins the Democratic Party’s 93.5% consensus on prediction markets, reflecting the seat’s consistent lean in recent cycles and limited visibility for Republican challenger Marty Young. Fundraising gaps, low-profile opposition, and the absence of major scandals or redistricting changes have kept the race off competitive ratings lists. Traders price in structural advantages for the incumbent while assigning modest weight to national midterm dynamics or late-cycle shifts that could elevate turnout among Republican-leaning voters. A high-profile controversy, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa PA-06
Vencedor da eleição da casa PA-06
$17,806 Vol.
$17,806 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$17,806 Vol.
$17,806 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$8,074 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$9,732 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chrissy Houlahan’s incumbency in the suburban Philadelphia district underpins the Democratic Party’s 93.5% consensus on prediction markets, reflecting the seat’s consistent lean in recent cycles and limited visibility for Republican challenger Marty Young. Fundraising gaps, low-profile opposition, and the absence of major scandals or redistricting changes have kept the race off competitive ratings lists. Traders price in structural advantages for the incumbent while assigning modest weight to national midterm dynamics or late-cycle shifts that could elevate turnout among Republican-leaning voters. A high-profile controversy, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$17,806Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chrissy Houlahan’s incumbency in the suburban Philadelphia district underpins the Democratic Party’s 93.5% consensus on prediction markets, reflecting the seat’s consistent lean in recent cycles and limited visibility for Republican challenger Marty Young. Fundraising gaps, low-profile opposition, and the absence of major scandals or redistricting changes have kept the race off competitive ratings lists. Traders price in structural advantages for the incumbent while assigning modest weight to national midterm dynamics or late-cycle shifts that could elevate turnout among Republican-leaning voters. A high-profile controversy, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,806Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chrissy Houlahan’s incumbency in the suburban Philadelphia district underpins the Democratic Party’s 93.5% consensus on prediction markets, reflecting the seat’s consistent lean in recent cycles and limited visibility for Republican challenger Marty Young. Fundraising gaps, low-profile opposition, and the absence of major scandals or redistricting changes have kept the race off competitive ratings lists. Traders price in structural advantages for the incumbent while assigning modest weight to national midterm dynamics or late-cycle shifts that could elevate turnout among Republican-leaning voters. A high-profile controversy, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions