California's 51st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Sara Jacobs faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary ahead of the November general election, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats. This structural advantage underpins the market's trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late primary surprise advancing a strong Republican or significant national shifts in voter sentiment could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates indicate low likelihood of an upset in this district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-51
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-51
$28,756 Vol.
$28,756 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
4%
$28,756 Vol.
$28,756 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$14,910 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$13,845 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 51st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Sara Jacobs faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary ahead of the November general election, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats. This structural advantage underpins the market's trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late primary surprise advancing a strong Republican or significant national shifts in voter sentiment could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates indicate low likelihood of an upset in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$28,756Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 51st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Sara Jacobs faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary ahead of the November general election, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats. This structural advantage underpins the market's trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late primary surprise advancing a strong Republican or significant national shifts in voter sentiment could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates indicate low likelihood of an upset in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,756Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 51st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Sara Jacobs faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary ahead of the November general election, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats. This structural advantage underpins the market's trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late primary surprise advancing a strong Republican or significant national shifts in voter sentiment could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates indicate low likelihood of an upset in this district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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