Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds structural advantages in Florida’s 27th congressional district, an R+6 seat on the Cook Partisan Voting Index that nonpartisan forecasters rate Likely Republican. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and the district’s partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 66.5 percent. A crowded Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, featuring multiple challengers has yet to produce a clear general-election threat, while early hypothetical polling showed some Democratic contenders competitive but not dominant. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in South Florida voter patterns remain the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados da FL-27
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados da FL-27
$13,064 Vol.
$13,064 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
67%
Partido Democrata
31%
$13,064 Vol.
$13,064 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,558 Vol.
67%
Partido Democrata
$7,506 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds structural advantages in Florida’s 27th congressional district, an R+6 seat on the Cook Partisan Voting Index that nonpartisan forecasters rate Likely Republican. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and the district’s partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 66.5 percent. A crowded Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, featuring multiple challengers has yet to produce a clear general-election threat, while early hypothetical polling showed some Democratic contenders competitive but not dominant. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in South Florida voter patterns remain the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$13,064Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds structural advantages in Florida’s 27th congressional district, an R+6 seat on the Cook Partisan Voting Index that nonpartisan forecasters rate Likely Republican. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and the district’s partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 66.5 percent. A crowded Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, featuring multiple challengers has yet to produce a clear general-election threat, while early hypothetical polling showed some Democratic contenders competitive but not dominant. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in South Florida voter patterns remain the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,064Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds structural advantages in Florida’s 27th congressional district, an R+6 seat on the Cook Partisan Voting Index that nonpartisan forecasters rate Likely Republican. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and the district’s partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 66.5 percent. A crowded Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, featuring multiple challengers has yet to produce a clear general-election threat, while early hypothetical polling showed some Democratic contenders competitive but not dominant. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in South Florida voter patterns remain the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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