Redistricting approved in spring 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a Republican lean by incorporating more conservative areas in Osceola, Highlands, Indian River, and surrounding counties, altering the seat from a Democratic stronghold to one where recent presidential results favored the GOP. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 25.4 percent in a crowded field, positioning him to challenge incumbent Darren Soto, who faced no Democratic primary opposition. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 41 percent with 18 percent undecided, while forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Traders appear to price in the map’s structural advantage and Green’s post-primary momentum ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-09 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
FL-09 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$20,556 Vol.
$20,556 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Dan Green (R)
62%
Darren Soto (D)
36%
$20,556 Vol.
$20,556 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Dan Green (R)
$11,763 Vol.
62%
Darren Soto (D)
$8,794 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in spring 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a Republican lean by incorporating more conservative areas in Osceola, Highlands, Indian River, and surrounding counties, altering the seat from a Democratic stronghold to one where recent presidential results favored the GOP. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 25.4 percent in a crowded field, positioning him to challenge incumbent Darren Soto, who faced no Democratic primary opposition. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 41 percent with 18 percent undecided, while forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Traders appear to price in the map’s structural advantage and Green’s post-primary momentum ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$20,556Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in spring 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a Republican lean by incorporating more conservative areas in Osceola, Highlands, Indian River, and surrounding counties, altering the seat from a Democratic stronghold to one where recent presidential results favored the GOP. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 25.4 percent in a crowded field, positioning him to challenge incumbent Darren Soto, who faced no Democratic primary opposition. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 41 percent with 18 percent undecided, while forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Traders appear to price in the map’s structural advantage and Green’s post-primary momentum ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,556Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved in spring 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a Republican lean by incorporating more conservative areas in Osceola, Highlands, Indian River, and surrounding counties, altering the seat from a Democratic stronghold to one where recent presidential results favored the GOP. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 25.4 percent in a crowded field, positioning him to challenge incumbent Darren Soto, who faced no Democratic primary opposition. A late-August poll showed the candidates tied at 41 percent with 18 percent undecided, while forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Traders appear to price in the map’s structural advantage and Green’s post-primary momentum ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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