Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district toward a Republican lean, prompting major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball to rate the race Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 by a narrower margin than prior cycles, faces a more challenging path under the new map despite his fundraising edge. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 contests, while the general election on November 3 remains the resolution date. Trader consensus at 63 percent for the Republican Party and 33.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural changes and the district’s updated partisan baseline rather than any single recent event.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-09 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
FL-09 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
63%
Partido Democrata
34%
$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,113 Vol.
63%
Partido Democrata
$5,227 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district toward a Republican lean, prompting major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball to rate the race Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 by a narrower margin than prior cycles, faces a more challenging path under the new map despite his fundraising edge. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 contests, while the general election on November 3 remains the resolution date. Trader consensus at 63 percent for the Republican Party and 33.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural changes and the district’s updated partisan baseline rather than any single recent event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$13,339Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district toward a Republican lean, prompting major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball to rate the race Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 by a narrower margin than prior cycles, faces a more challenging path under the new map despite his fundraising edge. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 contests, while the general election on November 3 remains the resolution date. Trader consensus at 63 percent for the Republican Party and 33.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural changes and the district’s updated partisan baseline rather than any single recent event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,339Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district toward a Republican lean, prompting major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball to rate the race Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 by a narrower margin than prior cycles, faces a more challenging path under the new map despite his fundraising edge. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 contests, while the general election on November 3 remains the resolution date. Trader consensus at 63 percent for the Republican Party and 33.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural changes and the district’s updated partisan baseline rather than any single recent event.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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