Illinois's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote, while Tommy Hanson advanced as the Republican nominee. Quigley's long tenure, fundraising advantage, and the district's voter composition in northern Chicago and nearby suburbs underpin trader consensus on his general election position ahead of the November 3 contest. A late withdrawal, major scandal, or unexpected surge in Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates show limited pathways for such shifts in this cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-05 Vencedor da eleição da casa
IL-05 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$25,272 Vol.
$25,272 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Quigley (D)
95%
Tommy Hanson (R)
5%
$25,272 Vol.
$25,272 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Quigley (D)
$8,976 Vol.
95%
Tommy Hanson (R)
$16,296 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote, while Tommy Hanson advanced as the Republican nominee. Quigley's long tenure, fundraising advantage, and the district's voter composition in northern Chicago and nearby suburbs underpin trader consensus on his general election position ahead of the November 3 contest. A late withdrawal, major scandal, or unexpected surge in Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates show limited pathways for such shifts in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$25,272Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote, while Tommy Hanson advanced as the Republican nominee. Quigley's long tenure, fundraising advantage, and the district's voter composition in northern Chicago and nearby suburbs underpin trader consensus on his general election position ahead of the November 3 contest. A late withdrawal, major scandal, or unexpected surge in Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates show limited pathways for such shifts in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,272Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote, while Tommy Hanson advanced as the Republican nominee. Quigley's long tenure, fundraising advantage, and the district's voter composition in northern Chicago and nearby suburbs underpin trader consensus on his general election position ahead of the November 3 contest. A late withdrawal, major scandal, or unexpected surge in Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates show limited pathways for such shifts in this cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions