Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 5th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating and consistent historical results including Quigley's 69 percent win in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Primary outcomes and the absence of major shifts in voter composition or candidate viability have reinforced this positioning since March. Potential developments that could alter outcomes include unforeseen scandals, health-related withdrawals, or substantial national political realignments, though the district's established partisan profile limits the likelihood of such changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-05 Vencedor da eleição da casa
IL-05 Vencedor da eleição da casa
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$7,806 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$1,548 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 5th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating and consistent historical results including Quigley's 69 percent win in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Primary outcomes and the absence of major shifts in voter composition or candidate viability have reinforced this positioning since March. Potential developments that could alter outcomes include unforeseen scandals, health-related withdrawals, or substantial national political realignments, though the district's established partisan profile limits the likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$9,354Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 5th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating and consistent historical results including Quigley's 69 percent win in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Primary outcomes and the absence of major shifts in voter composition or candidate viability have reinforced this positioning since March. Potential developments that could alter outcomes include unforeseen scandals, health-related withdrawals, or substantial national political realignments, though the district's established partisan profile limits the likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,354Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 5th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating and consistent historical results including Quigley's 69 percent win in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Primary outcomes and the absence of major shifts in voter composition or candidate viability have reinforced this positioning since March. Potential developments that could alter outcomes include unforeseen scandals, health-related withdrawals, or substantial national political realignments, though the district's established partisan profile limits the likelihood of such changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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