Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, his status as incumbent seeking a fourth term, and decisive primary victories in August 2026. Mann defeated his Republican challenger by a wide margin while Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold advanced after her own primary win, but the large rural district’s voting patterns and historical results favor the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican. Mann’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, major shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
$17,952 Vol.
$17,952 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
6%
$17,952 Vol.
$17,952 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
$6,237 Vol.
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
$11,716 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, his status as incumbent seeking a fourth term, and decisive primary victories in August 2026. Mann defeated his Republican challenger by a wide margin while Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold advanced after her own primary win, but the large rural district’s voting patterns and historical results favor the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican. Mann’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, major shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$17,952Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, his status as incumbent seeking a fourth term, and decisive primary victories in August 2026. Mann defeated his Republican challenger by a wide margin while Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold advanced after her own primary win, but the large rural district’s voting patterns and historical results favor the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican. Mann’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, major shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,952Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, his status as incumbent seeking a fourth term, and decisive primary victories in August 2026. Mann defeated his Republican challenger by a wide margin while Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold advanced after her own primary win, but the large rural district’s voting patterns and historical results favor the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican. Mann’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, major shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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