Katie Hobbs holds an 89.5% implied probability of winning Maricopa County in the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, compared with Andy Biggs at 9.5%. As the Democratic incumbent, Hobbs benefits from early multi-million-dollar advertising emphasizing cost-of-living relief and her working-class background, a joint ticket with former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles to broaden appeal among independents, and consistent polling leads of 6–11 points statewide. Biggs secured the Republican nomination with over 70% in the July primary on Trump endorsement and conservative turnout but trails among independents and women while facing attacks on his record. Maricopa County’s large share of the electorate amplifies these dynamics, with trader consensus reflecting Hobbs’ structural and resource advantages two months before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
90%
Andy Biggs (R)
10%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
$93 Vol.
90%
Andy Biggs (R)
$23 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 89.5% implied probability of winning Maricopa County in the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, compared with Andy Biggs at 9.5%. As the Democratic incumbent, Hobbs benefits from early multi-million-dollar advertising emphasizing cost-of-living relief and her working-class background, a joint ticket with former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles to broaden appeal among independents, and consistent polling leads of 6–11 points statewide. Biggs secured the Republican nomination with over 70% in the July primary on Trump endorsement and conservative turnout but trails among independents and women while facing attacks on his record. Maricopa County’s large share of the electorate amplifies these dynamics, with trader consensus reflecting Hobbs’ structural and resource advantages two months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$116Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 89.5% implied probability of winning Maricopa County in the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, compared with Andy Biggs at 9.5%. As the Democratic incumbent, Hobbs benefits from early multi-million-dollar advertising emphasizing cost-of-living relief and her working-class background, a joint ticket with former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles to broaden appeal among independents, and consistent polling leads of 6–11 points statewide. Biggs secured the Republican nomination with over 70% in the July primary on Trump endorsement and conservative turnout but trails among independents and women while facing attacks on his record. Maricopa County’s large share of the electorate amplifies these dynamics, with trader consensus reflecting Hobbs’ structural and resource advantages two months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Volume
$116Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Katie Hobbs holds an 89.5% implied probability of winning Maricopa County in the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, compared with Andy Biggs at 9.5%. As the Democratic incumbent, Hobbs benefits from early multi-million-dollar advertising emphasizing cost-of-living relief and her working-class background, a joint ticket with former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles to broaden appeal among independents, and consistent polling leads of 6–11 points statewide. Biggs secured the Republican nomination with over 70% in the July primary on Trump endorsement and conservative turnout but trails among independents and women while facing attacks on his record. Maricopa County’s large share of the electorate amplifies these dynamics, with trader consensus reflecting Hobbs’ structural and resource advantages two months before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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