Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory over Haley Stevens positions the Democratic nominee as the slight favorite to carry Oakland County in the November general election, reflecting trader views on suburban Democratic performance in a battleground area with mixed recent voting history. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, trails significantly in implied probability amid statewide polling showing El-Sayed ahead by low single digits. The race remains competitive due to Oakland’s swing character, where turnout among independents and suburban moderates, combined with debates over costs, healthcare, and foreign policy, could shift margins. Late-cycle events such as candidate debates, endorsements from local officials, or shifts in national economic sentiment may widen or close the gap before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Mike Rogers (R)
8%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
51%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Mike Rogers (R)
$300 Vol.
8%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$201 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory over Haley Stevens positions the Democratic nominee as the slight favorite to carry Oakland County in the November general election, reflecting trader views on suburban Democratic performance in a battleground area with mixed recent voting history. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, trails significantly in implied probability amid statewide polling showing El-Sayed ahead by low single digits. The race remains competitive due to Oakland’s swing character, where turnout among independents and suburban moderates, combined with debates over costs, healthcare, and foreign policy, could shift margins. Late-cycle events such as candidate debates, endorsements from local officials, or shifts in national economic sentiment may widen or close the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$501Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory over Haley Stevens positions the Democratic nominee as the slight favorite to carry Oakland County in the November general election, reflecting trader views on suburban Democratic performance in a battleground area with mixed recent voting history. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, trails significantly in implied probability amid statewide polling showing El-Sayed ahead by low single digits. The race remains competitive due to Oakland’s swing character, where turnout among independents and suburban moderates, combined with debates over costs, healthcare, and foreign policy, could shift margins. Late-cycle events such as candidate debates, endorsements from local officials, or shifts in national economic sentiment may widen or close the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Volume
$501Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory over Haley Stevens positions the Democratic nominee as the slight favorite to carry Oakland County in the November general election, reflecting trader views on suburban Democratic performance in a battleground area with mixed recent voting history. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, trails significantly in implied probability amid statewide polling showing El-Sayed ahead by low single digits. The race remains competitive due to Oakland’s swing character, where turnout among independents and suburban moderates, combined with debates over costs, healthcare, and foreign policy, could shift margins. Late-cycle events such as candidate debates, endorsements from local officials, or shifts in national economic sentiment may widen or close the gap before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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