Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi's 2nd congressional district with over 86 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his party's contest. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+11 and consistent general election margins above 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Thompson's long tenure since 1993 and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting shifts have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MS-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa MS-02
$26,093 Vol.
$26,093 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
89%
Partido Republicano
9%
$26,093 Vol.
$26,093 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$13,767 Vol.
89%
Partido Republicano
$12,325 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi's 2nd congressional district with over 86 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his party's contest. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+11 and consistent general election margins above 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Thompson's long tenure since 1993 and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting shifts have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$26,093Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi's 2nd congressional district with over 86 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his party's contest. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+11 and consistent general election margins above 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Thompson's long tenure since 1993 and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting shifts have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,093Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi's 2nd congressional district with over 86 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his party's contest. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+11 and consistent general election margins above 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Thompson's long tenure since 1993 and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting shifts have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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