Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed primary victory and the district's R+18 partisan voter index anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. The northeastern Mississippi seat, covering areas like Tupelo and Oxford, has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting durable voter patterns in this solidly Republican territory. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson secured his party's nod but faces structural headwinds typical of the district's electoral math. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and polling precedents suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa MS-01
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa MS-01
$108,119 Vol.
$108,119 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Democrata
4%
$108,119 Vol.
$108,119 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$77,449 Vol.
95%
Partido Democrata
$30,670 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed primary victory and the district's R+18 partisan voter index anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. The northeastern Mississippi seat, covering areas like Tupelo and Oxford, has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting durable voter patterns in this solidly Republican territory. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson secured his party's nod but faces structural headwinds typical of the district's electoral math. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and polling precedents suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$108,119Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed primary victory and the district's R+18 partisan voter index anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. The northeastern Mississippi seat, covering areas like Tupelo and Oxford, has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting durable voter patterns in this solidly Republican territory. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson secured his party's nod but faces structural headwinds typical of the district's electoral math. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and polling precedents suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$108,119Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed primary victory and the district's R+18 partisan voter index anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. The northeastern Mississippi seat, covering areas like Tupelo and Oxford, has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting durable voter patterns in this solidly Republican territory. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson secured his party's nod but faces structural headwinds typical of the district's electoral math. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and polling precedents suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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