Mississippi’s 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its consistent partisan voting patterns and Cook Partisan Voting Index rating of R+18. Incumbent Representative Trent Kelly secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while the Democratic primary produced nominee Cliff Johnson. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the district’s history of double-digit Republican margins. A national Democratic surge, major scandal, or significant redistricting could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability events given the district’s established lean.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa MS-01
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa MS-01
$106,659 Vol.
$106,659 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Democrata
3%
$106,659 Vol.
$106,659 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$77,449 Vol.
95%
Partido Democrata
$29,210 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its consistent partisan voting patterns and Cook Partisan Voting Index rating of R+18. Incumbent Representative Trent Kelly secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while the Democratic primary produced nominee Cliff Johnson. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the district’s history of double-digit Republican margins. A national Democratic surge, major scandal, or significant redistricting could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability events given the district’s established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$106,659Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its consistent partisan voting patterns and Cook Partisan Voting Index rating of R+18. Incumbent Representative Trent Kelly secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while the Democratic primary produced nominee Cliff Johnson. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the district’s history of double-digit Republican margins. A national Democratic surge, major scandal, or significant redistricting could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability events given the district’s established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$106,659Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its consistent partisan voting patterns and Cook Partisan Voting Index rating of R+18. Incumbent Representative Trent Kelly secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while the Democratic primary produced nominee Cliff Johnson. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the district’s history of double-digit Republican margins. A national Democratic surge, major scandal, or significant redistricting could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability events given the district’s established lean.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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