Skip to main content
icon for MA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

MA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for MA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

MA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Patrick Roath 47%

Andrew Zylberfink 20.6%

Stephen Lynch 0

Polymarket
NOVO

Patrick Roath 47%

Andrew Zylberfink 20.6%

Stephen Lynch 0

Polymarket
NOVO

Patrick Roath

$0 Vol.

47%

Andrew Zylberfink

$191 Vol.

21%

Stephen Lynch

$2,104 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% in the MA-08 Democratic primary set for September 1, driven by his 24-year tenure, name recognition, and dominant cash reserves of $1.18 million as of March 31 filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath commands 39% implied probability amid robust grassroots fundraising—$900,000 total raised, including a Q1 2026 best of $288,000 without PACs—plus endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's PAC, fueling a generational challenge narrative in this solidly Democratic district. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 19.9% following his campaign withdrawal, with traders focused on upcoming forums and voter turnout among progressives as key swing factors.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,295
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% in the MA-08 Democratic primary set for September 1, driven by his 24-year tenure, name recognition, and dominant cash reserves of $1.18 million as of March 31 filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath commands 39% implied probability amid robust grassroots fundraising—$900,000 total raised, including a Q1 2026 best of $288,000 without PACs—plus endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's PAC, fueling a generational challenge narrative in this solidly Democratic district. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 19.9% following his campaign withdrawal, with traders focused on upcoming forums and voter turnout among progressives as key swing factors.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,295
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Patrick Roath" at 47%, followed by "Stephen Lynch" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Patrick Roath" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Stephen Lynch" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.