Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% in the MA-08 Democratic primary set for September 1, driven by his 24-year tenure, name recognition, and dominant cash reserves of $1.18 million as of March 31 filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath commands 39% implied probability amid robust grassroots fundraising—$900,000 total raised, including a Q1 2026 best of $288,000 without PACs—plus endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's PAC, fueling a generational challenge narrative in this solidly Democratic district. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 19.9% following his campaign withdrawal, with traders focused on upcoming forums and voter turnout among progressives as key swing factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
MA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Patrick Roath 47%
Andrew Zylberfink 20.6%
Stephen Lynch 0
Patrick Roath
47%
Andrew Zylberfink
21%
Stephen Lynch
44%
Patrick Roath 47%
Andrew Zylberfink 20.6%
Stephen Lynch 0
Patrick Roath
47%
Andrew Zylberfink
21%
Stephen Lynch
44%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% in the MA-08 Democratic primary set for September 1, driven by his 24-year tenure, name recognition, and dominant cash reserves of $1.18 million as of March 31 filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath commands 39% implied probability amid robust grassroots fundraising—$900,000 total raised, including a Q1 2026 best of $288,000 without PACs—plus endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's PAC, fueling a generational challenge narrative in this solidly Democratic district. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 19.9% following his campaign withdrawal, with traders focused on upcoming forums and voter turnout among progressives as key swing factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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