Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his prior victories by double-digit margins, the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, and his unopposed primary. He faces Republican Darren Bailey in a November 3 rematch of the 2022 contest, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.5% implied probability, reflecting structural advantages including incumbency and voter registration patterns. Factors that could realistically shift outcomes include major scandals, health developments, or an unexpected national political wave favoring Republicans, though these remain low-probability events at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de Illinois
Vencedor da eleição para governador de Illinois
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrata
96%
Republicano
6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$4,570 Vol.
96%
Republicano
$3,088 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his prior victories by double-digit margins, the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, and his unopposed primary. He faces Republican Darren Bailey in a November 3 rematch of the 2022 contest, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.5% implied probability, reflecting structural advantages including incumbency and voter registration patterns. Factors that could realistically shift outcomes include major scandals, health developments, or an unexpected national political wave favoring Republicans, though these remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,658Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his prior victories by double-digit margins, the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, and his unopposed primary. He faces Republican Darren Bailey in a November 3 rematch of the 2022 contest, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.5% implied probability, reflecting structural advantages including incumbency and voter registration patterns. Factors that could realistically shift outcomes include major scandals, health developments, or an unexpected national political wave favoring Republicans, though these remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$7,658Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his prior victories by double-digit margins, the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, and his unopposed primary. He faces Republican Darren Bailey in a November 3 rematch of the 2022 contest, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.5% implied probability, reflecting structural advantages including incumbency and voter registration patterns. Factors that could realistically shift outcomes include major scandals, health developments, or an unexpected national political wave favoring Republicans, though these remain low-probability events at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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