The Democratic nominee Claire Valdez secured a decisive primary victory in June for the open NY-07 seat, reinforcing the district's strong Democratic lean across Queens and Brooklyn neighborhoods. Nonpartisan ratings classify the general election as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's voting patterns in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic Party at 94.5% to win on November 3, reflecting this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the Republican nominee. A national Republican wave, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could still shift the outcome, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Câmara de NY-07
Vencedor da eleição da Câmara de NY-07
$29,813 Vol.
$29,813 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$29,813 Vol.
$29,813 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$15,452 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$14,361 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Claire Valdez secured a decisive primary victory in June for the open NY-07 seat, reinforcing the district's strong Democratic lean across Queens and Brooklyn neighborhoods. Nonpartisan ratings classify the general election as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's voting patterns in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic Party at 94.5% to win on November 3, reflecting this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the Republican nominee. A national Republican wave, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could still shift the outcome, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$29,813Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Claire Valdez secured a decisive primary victory in June for the open NY-07 seat, reinforcing the district's strong Democratic lean across Queens and Brooklyn neighborhoods. Nonpartisan ratings classify the general election as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's voting patterns in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic Party at 94.5% to win on November 3, reflecting this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the Republican nominee. A national Republican wave, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could still shift the outcome, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,813Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee Claire Valdez secured a decisive primary victory in June for the open NY-07 seat, reinforcing the district's strong Democratic lean across Queens and Brooklyn neighborhoods. Nonpartisan ratings classify the general election as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's voting patterns in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders price the Democratic Party at 94.5% to win on November 3, reflecting this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the Republican nominee. A national Republican wave, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could still shift the outcome, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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