Democratic Rep. Lois Frankel’s decision to seek the seat in the newly configured FL-23 has reinforced trader expectations of a strong Democratic hold. Redistricting produced a district with a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. With the August 18 primary and November general election still months away, no late-cycle polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the underlying partisan math. Traders therefore assign the Democratic nominee an 85% implied probability, viewing the seat as structurally secure absent major unforeseen developments before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-23 House Election Winner
FL-23 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
16%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$839 Vol.
85%
Republican Party
$735 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Lois Frankel’s decision to seek the seat in the newly configured FL-23 has reinforced trader expectations of a strong Democratic hold. Redistricting produced a district with a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. With the August 18 primary and November general election still months away, no late-cycle polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the underlying partisan math. Traders therefore assign the Democratic nominee an 85% implied probability, viewing the seat as structurally secure absent major unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$1,574Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Lois Frankel’s decision to seek the seat in the newly configured FL-23 has reinforced trader expectations of a strong Democratic hold. Redistricting produced a district with a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. With the August 18 primary and November general election still months away, no late-cycle polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the underlying partisan math. Traders therefore assign the Democratic nominee an 85% implied probability, viewing the seat as structurally secure absent major unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,574Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Lois Frankel’s decision to seek the seat in the newly configured FL-23 has reinforced trader expectations of a strong Democratic hold. Redistricting produced a district with a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. With the August 18 primary and November general election still months away, no late-cycle polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the underlying partisan math. Traders therefore assign the Democratic nominee an 85% implied probability, viewing the seat as structurally secure absent major unforeseen developments before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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